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Demand Index

Description

The Demand Index, developed by James Sibbet, combines price and volume in such a way that it is often a leading indicator of price change. The Demand Index calculations are too complex, however, for this text. The calculations require 21-column accounting paper to calculate manually.

MetaStock Pro uses a slight variation on the Sibbet's original Index so that the Index is displayed on a "normal" y-axis scale. The author's Index is plotted on a scale labeled +0 at the top, 1 in the middle, and -0 at the bottom. MetaStock Pro uses a scale from +100 to -100. Other than the difference in y-axis labeling, the indicator is calculated exactly as designed by its author.

Interpretation

There are six "rules" to the Demand Index:

  • A divergence between the Demand Index and the price trend suggests an approaching weakness in price.

  • One more rally to new highs usually follows an extreme peak in the Demand Index (the Index is performing as a leading indicator).

  • Higher prices with a lower Demand Index peak usually coincides with an important top (the Index is performing as a coincidental indicator).

  • The Demand Index penetrates the level of zero indicating a change in trend (the Index is performing as a lagging indicator).

  • When the Demand Index stays near the level of zero for any period of time, a weak price movement that will not last long is indicated.

  • A large long-term divergence between prices and the Demand Index indicates a major top or bottom.

  

  

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